Abortion drove many citizens to prove for Tuesday’s election, however not at all times for Vice President Kamala Harris, whereas issues in regards to the financial system weighed extra closely on voters’ minds, in response to polling information from KFF and the Related Press.
A couple of quarter of voters mentioned abortion was the “single most vital” issue of their vote, about 4 in10 mentioned it had a significant impression on their determination to prove (just like the shares who mentioned so within the 2022 midterm elections), and over half mentioned it had a significant impression on which candidates they supported, in response to the Related Press’s VoteCast survey. In partnership with the AP, KFF added supplemental inquiries to the survey of the 2024 voters to gauge how voters have been weighing well being care points as they exited the polls.
However Vice President Harris’s robust benefit on abortion was not sufficient to override detrimental views of the financial system and immigration, points the place President- Elect Donald Trump held the sting, the polling information reveals. Forty p.c of voters mentioned excessive costs for fuel, groceries and different items was the one most vital issue to their vote, together with 51% of Republicans, 41% of independents, and 28% of Democrats.
KFF’s evaluation reveals that Trump did a lot better than Harris among the many majorities of voters who reported being very involved about the price of groceries, fuel, and housing. He additionally did higher than Harris among the many greater than half of voters who mentioned they have been very involved about the price of well being care.
Furthermore, on the problem of abortion, Trump managed to garner small however vital shares of votes amongst those that voted in favor of abortion poll measures of their state, profitable 4 states the place voters additionally selected to increase or defend abortion entry. Trump received assist from about three in ten voters who voted in favor of abortion entry within the battleground states of Nevada and Arizona, an identical share in Missouri, and a few quarter in Montana.
In a web based interactive dashboard, KFF examines the position that abortion, the financial system and well being care prices performed within the 2024 election, offering a deep dive into voters’ considering on well being care points as they made their selections about whether or not to vote and whom to vote for.
KFF supplies information and evaluation of the general AP VoteCast survey and these supplemental questions at each the nationwide and state stage.
The dashboard contains:
An interactive map that gives a extra detailed take a look at states with abortion-related poll measures.
Evaluation and charts inspecting the motivations of voters and the impression of issues about abortion coverage and well being care prices nationally and throughout states, together with some information breakouts by demographic teams and political occasion.
A curated set of charts offering key evaluation amongst subgroups of voters on matters like abortion poll measures, well being care as an financial concern, and voters’ views of an important points going through the U.S.
The AP VoteCast is a nationwide and 48 state surveys of greater than 115,000 voters carried out by NORC on the College of Chicago for The Related Press, Fox Information, PBS NewsHour, and The Wall Road Journal starting on Oct. 28 and concluding as polls closed on Nov. 5, 2024, in English and Spanish. The nationwide survey was carried out utilizing NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak panel, whereas the person state surveys have been carried out from a random pattern of state voter information and from self-identified registered voters chosen from non-probability on-line panels. Extra particulars can be found about AP VoteCast’s methodology right here.