—by Matt Milkovich
Attendees on the Outlook 2024 convention in Chicago on Aug. 15 gathered to listen to the U.S. Apple Affiliation’s estimate for the 2024–25 U.S. crop: about 282 million 42-pound bushels, down about 2 % from final yr however 5 % higher than the five-year common. A remaining estimate shall be introduced on Day 2 of the convention. (Matt Milkovich/Good Fruit Grower)
Day 1 of the U.S. Apple Affiliation’s Outlook 2024 has concluded, and the preliminary estimate for the 2024–25 crop is in: U.S. manufacturing for the approaching season shall be about 282 million 42-pound bushels, down about 2 % from final yr however 5 % higher than the five-year common. “Nonetheless an enormous yr,” stated Chris Gerlach, USApple’s vice chairman of insights and analytics.
The 2024–25 crop can have a farm-gate worth of greater than $3.3 billion, generated primarily from contemporary manufacturing, Gerlach stated in the course of the convention, held Aug. 15–16 in Chicago.
The estimate is predicated on information from the U.S. Division of Agriculture and USApple. USApple members will additional refine the numbers throughout regional conferences, and a remaining estimate shall be introduced on the finish of the convention on Aug. 16.
On the state stage, Washington will stay the nation’s high producer with an estimated crop of about 179 million bushels, a 1 % lower from 2023–24. New York is projected to reclaim the quantity two spot with round 31 million bushels, a 4 % enhance from final season. Michigan, coming off two consecutive document years, is predicted to lower manufacturing by 10 % with about 29 million bushels. Pennsylvania will produce 12.1 million bushels, down 7.8 % from final yr. California will produce about 5.5 million bushels, down 4.2 %. Virginia will produce 5.2 million bushels, up 4.3 %. Rounding out the highest seven apple states, Oregon will produce 3.6 million bushels, down 5.4 % from final yr.
Gala is predicted to stay the highest U.S. selection, with greater than 48 million bushels produced and accounting for about 17 % of the U.S. apple market. Rounding out the highest 5 shall be Purple Scrumptious (35 million bushels), Granny Smith (28 million), Honeycrisp (28 million) and Fuji (27 million).
As for international provide, China will proceed to dominate the world market, producing an estimated 2.1 billion bushels in 2024–25, a 2 % enhance in comparison with 2023–24. European manufacturing is predicted to shrink by 11 % to about 545 million bushels. South America is predicted to say no by 15 % in comparison with final yr, producing about 116 million bushels. Mexico is predicted to supply 43 million bushels, up 1 % from 2023–24. Canada is predicted to extend manufacturing by 7 % to nearly 21 million bushels, Gerlach stated.
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